An analysis of why China is succeeding as a peace broker, citing its mediation of a ceasefire in Myanmar, the Saudi-Iran deal of March 2023 and its role in Afghanistan. The piece attributes China's success to economic interest, conscious neutrality and non-interference, while noting limits such as ASEAN's failures and ethnic armies that reject Chinese mediation.
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We hope that all parties will maintain the momentum of ceasefire and peace talks, earnestly implement existing common understandings, take the initiative in deescalating the situation on the ground, and further negotiate and settle relevan…
always cooperate with China’s mediation efforts and continue to cooperate to achieve good results.
only outside power with the means, capacity, and motivation
Will the Bamar, who are the majority community in Myanmar, agree to the ethnic groups’ demand for autonomy or independence?
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ASEAN has never, in its 58-year history, managed to solve a single bilateral conflict or dispute between its 10 member countries
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ASEAN has never, in its 58-year history, managed to solve a single bilateral conflict or dispute between its 10 member countries
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formed after the army’s February 2021 coup
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In 2007, a major mining firm signed a contract to open what is potentially the world’s largest copper mine in Mes Aynak, in Logar province.
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In the third of week of January 2025, China announced that it has mediated a ceasefire between the military government of Myanmar and an Ethnic Armed Organization (EAO) called the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA).
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In March 2023, China successfully mediated a peace treaty between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
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In early December 2024, the MNDAA passed a resolution to opt for Chinese arbitration.
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the Arakan Army (AA), which has managed to overrun most of its homeland in Rakhine State, bordering Bangladesh, announced in December 2024 that it was ready to negotiate with the military regime.
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ASEAN’s “Five-Point Consensus” formula, which was adopted a few months after the February 2021 coup, called for the immediate cessation of violence, constructive dialogue, and humanitarian assistance to areas affected by the fighting.
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